‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Tightens India's Kitchen Fuel Supplies.
The ripple effects of a war being fought nearly 3,000km away are now being felt in India's kitchens.
As aerial attacks on Iran disrupt energy shipments through the vital shipping lane, stocks of cooking gas are tightening across India, pushing restaurants to shorten food lists, shorten hours and in some cases cease operations entirely.
Social media is awash with video clips showing queues outside LPG distributors across Indian cities and towns as concerns over fuel supplies spread. Commercial LPG users appear the hardest struck: the biggest crunch is in restaurant kitchens.
"Conditions are critical. LPG simply is unavailable," says a official of the a major restaurant body.
Most restaurants run either on industrial fuel canisters or direct gas lines, and the lack of supply are now being noticed across the country. "Numerous restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the southern region. People are adopting traditional burners and electronic appliances to keep their operations going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, media reports say up to a 20% of hotels and restaurants are already fully or partly shut as business fuel stocks tighten. In the southern cities of Bangalore and Madras, some establishments say their fuel reserves have dwindled with scarce alternatives. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no food items - it is truly dismal. Commerce will take a hit," says a business operator in Bengaluru.
Restaurant owners are rushing to adjust. "Food options are being cut, some are cutting lunch service and opening only for dinner," an industry representative says, adding that closures are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - some have resumed operations. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers note a spike in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are selling out quickly.
Authority's View
Yet, the officials maintains there is adequate supply.
India has more than 30 crore domestic LPG users and authorities say supplies are being reallocated to households as conflict-related stress from the Middle East conflict affect energy markets.
About six out of ten of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about 90% of those consignments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now significantly disrupted by the conflict.
The oil ministry says that it instructed refineries to maximise LPG output for household consumption, raising domestic production by about a quarter. Non-domestic supply is being reserved for vital industries such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "fair and transparent".
"A degree of anxious stocking and hoarding has been caused by false reports. The standard supply timeline for home fuel remains about under three days," says a senior official.
Growing Panic
Now the anxiety is extending beyond kitchens. On social media, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of motorbikes outside a fuel station. "Anxiety is palpable," the text reads.
According to analysis from market experts, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be exaggerated.
India imports almost all of its oil. Around 50% of its petroleum shipments - about 2.5-2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the passage, largely from Middle Eastern nations.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the gap could be partly compensated for by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on shipping data and industry information, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, reducing India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.
"Around 25-30 million Russian oil barrels are currently on the water in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a ready fallback," an analyst noted.
LPG: The Real Vulnerability
The primary concern is LPG, experts note.
India consumes roughly a million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through the chokepoint.
Refineries can adjust processes to extract a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only increase domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.
In short: "Oil import vulnerability can be partially mitigated through alternative sourcing. Fuel availability remains fairly adequate. Cooking gas supply is the key factor to watch in the coming weeks."
What may be intensifying the concern on the ground is not just limited availability but uneven distribution - and the common threat of stockpiling.
An industry representative claims price gouging.
"Distributors are misusing the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being hoarded and auctioned off."
For now, India's energy imports may be buffered by international market dynamics. But in restaurants across the country, the more urgent issue is simple: how to get the next gas canister.